The Buenos Aires government is analyzing a set of indicators that show a less linear evolution than the political discussion about insecurity. Intentional homicides decreased from 451 between January and August of 2025 to 434 in the same period of 2026, a reduction of 3,8%. That series does not support the idea of a generalized increase in lethal violence, although it alone does not describe the social situation either.
The murders committed during robberies decreased from 47 to 39, by 17%, and femicides went from 33 to 24, a decrease of 27,3%. On the other hand, revenge killings increased from 80 to 84 and lethal brawls from 97 to 105. The variations require distinguishing between categories and avoiding presenting a single indicator as a complete explanation of the phenomenon.
Provincial concern is shifting toward less visible signs: domestic violence, mental health and criminal networks offering informal loans to families in difficulty. Reports cite a national increase in suicides from 4.249 in 2024 to 5.209 in 2025 and a Buenos Aires rate that rose from 10,8 to 11,9 per 100.000 inhabitants. Authorities clarify that these data do not prove direct economic causation.
The analysis reaches Policía Bonaerense. In the internal records of 2024 and 2025, 80% of the personnel who died by suicide were under 40 years old, 75% belonged to lower ranks, and 70% had accumulated less than ten years in the force. The estimated rate was 45 cases per 100.000 personnel, a level that prompts the review of working conditions and prevention.
The agenda becomes more complex with the future implementation of the new juvenile criminal regime and the federal accusatory system in La Plata. The first change requires provincial adherence; the second will transfer the investigation to the prosecutors in a jurisdiction that comprises 45 districts. A technical calculation cited by the administration estimates that at least 56 federal criminal prosecutor's offices and 21 additional defense offices would be needed.
The population deprived of liberty under provincial responsibility also increased: it went from 58.917 people at the end of 2023 to 66.493 on 16 of July 2026. At the same time, detainees in police stations decreased from 2.368 to 1.579. The official diagnosis, therefore, is not that of a criminal explosion already consummated, but of social tensions that require coordinated health, judicial, penitentiary, and territorial responses.
